US midterm elections have reshaped Washington's political landscape, giving Democrats control of both chambers of Congress and ending unified Republican control of the federal government. Under President Donald Trump, the United States now enters a new phase of divided government, one likely to be defined by institutional confrontation rather than legislative cooperation.
For the remaining two years of Trump's presidency, three instruments could dominate Washington politics: impeachment, presidential vetoes and the Senate filibuster. Democrats can investigate the administration, initiate impeachment proceedings and advance legislation, but Trump retains the power to veto congressional bills, while Senate procedural rules can obstruct much of the Democratic legislative agenda.
The coming struggle will therefore be about more than political control. It will test how far each side can exercise its constitutional powers, and how effectively impeachment, vetoes and the filibuster can shape the balance of power in Washington.
Congressional Oversight:
Setting the Stage
When the 120th Congress convenes on 3 January 2027, Democrats will control committee leadership, investigative priorities and hearing schedules in both chambers, providing substantial opportunities to scrutinise executive decisions, examine federal spending and hold administration officials accountable.
Congress has independent authority to conduct investigations, hold hearings and issue subpoenas. Committee jurisdiction and compulsory document production will also shape the scope of investigations.
However, oversight does not guarantee compliance. The administration may resist subpoenas, invoke executive privilege or challenge congressional demands in court. Investigative effectiveness will therefore depend on congressional leaders’ ability to obtain evidence and sustain inquiries beyond initial political attention.
The confrontation is already taking shape. President Trump has directed the Justice Department to investigate Democrats over statements concerning accountability and potential impeachment. This illustrates how post-election tensions are extending beyond legislative disagreements into broader questions of executive authority and congressional oversight.
Oversight, however, is only the opening act. The more consequential political battles may centre on three institutional instruments: impeachment, the presidential veto and the Senate filibuster.
Impeachment: Constitutional Power, Political Constraints
One of the new Congress's most contentious questions is whether Democrats will pursue a third impeachment of President Trump. The Constitution gives the House sole authority to impeach, requiring a simple majority, while conviction and removal require a two-thirds vote of senators present. Despite controlling both chambers, Democrats would therefore need substantial Republican support to remove Trump, who has already survived two impeachment trials.
A 4 November PolitiFact analysis, featuring constitutional scholars Frank O. Bowman III and Michael Gerhardt, highlights the strategic dilemma: impeachment is a legitimate constitutional instrument, but pursuing it without a realistic prospect of conviction could consume considerable political capital. Representative Jamie Raskin, expected to chair the House Judiciary Committee, has described impeachment as a tool in the constitutional toolkit, not an automatic political objective. Democrats may therefore prioritise investigations, public hearings and oversight.
Cabinet officials could also face impeachment proceedings. Historical precedents include Secretary of War William Belknap (1876) and Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas (2024), neither of whom was convicted by the Senate. Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth is currently the most prominent potential target, amid concerns over military operations and compliance with the War Powers Resolution.
Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has also been mentioned. Republican Representative Thomas Massie has advanced an impeachment resolution containing eight articles against Hegseth. Nevertheless, impeachment requires evidence of impeachable conduct, not simply political disagreement; conviction and removal still require a two-thirds Senate vote.
Presidential Veto: Trump's Constitutional Shield
Under Article I, Section 7 of the Constitution, the president may reject legislation passed by Congress. Congress can override a veto, but only with a two-thirds majority in both the House and the Senate. Assuming all seats are occupied and all members vote, that would require 290 votes in the House and 67 in the Senate. Democratic majorities alone are insufficient to meet either threshold.
The work of political scientists Charles Cameron and Robert Spitzer explains the influence of presidential veto power. Even the threat of a veto can be as consequential as an actual veto because it shapes negotiations before legislation reaches the White House. This gives Trump considerable leverage. Democrats may pass bills designed to challenge or reverse administration policies, but the president can block them unless congressional leaders secure sufficient bipartisan support for an override.
The implications extend beyond domestic policy. Trade, foreign assistance, defence spending and US engagement in international conflicts could all become subjects of congressional confrontation. A 4 November Council on Foreign Relations assessment identifies appropriations, investigations and Senate confirmations as areas where the new majority can exercise influence, while recognising the constraints imposed by presidential veto power.
The veto could therefore become a recurring feature of Washington politics in the 120th Congress.
The Filibuster: The Senate's Procedural Roadblock
Even with control of the Senate, Democrats may face a major legislative obstacle: the filibuster. Unlike the presidential veto, it is a Senate procedural mechanism that allows the minority to prolong debate and block legislation. Under current rules, most bills require 60 votes to invoke cloture and end debate, giving Republicans considerable leverage despite losing majority status.
This threshold could force Democrats to negotiate with Republicans, scale back legislative ambitions or pursue alternative procedures. Two options are changing Senate rules through the so-called nuclear option, which would require substantial Democratic unity and could have lasting institutional consequences, or using budget reconciliation to advance qualifying budget-related measures without the ordinary 60-vote threshold. However, reconciliation remains subject to restrictions, including the Byrd Rule, and cannot accommodate every legislative priority.
Democrats are also divided over whether to preserve, reform or abolish the filibuster. Some favour reform to advance their agenda, while others warn that eliminating it could weaken the Senate's deliberative traditions and make policies more vulnerable to reversal when political control changes.
A 4 November Carnegie Endowment for International Peace analysis identifies appropriations, congressional investigations and provisions attached to must-pass legislation as additional tools for influencing administration policy. Certain measures, including some war powers resolutions and arms-sale disapproval procedures, may also qualify for expedited Senate consideration.
Ultimately, the filibuster, combined with Trump's veto authority, creates a dual constraint on Democratic legislative ambitions. Democrats may need Republican cooperation to pass ordinary legislation or confront internal pressure to change Senate rules, either path potentially generating further political and institutional conflict.
A Grand Show of Constitutional Confrontation
The 3 November midterm elections have shifted the balance of power in Washington but have not rewritten the Constitution. Democrats now control Congress, while Trump retains presidential veto power and Senate Republicans can use the filibuster to obstruct much of the legislative agenda. Meanwhile, Democrats can exercise their investigative, appropriations and impeachment powers to challenge the administration. The next two years may therefore be marked by congressional investigations, impeachment battles, veto confrontations and procedural gridlock. Ultimately, the test will be whether competing political forces can use these constitutional powers to ensure accountability and achieve meaningful results, or deepen institutional paralysis. Welcome to Washington's new political reality: a grand show of impeachment, vetoes and the filibuster, where neither Congress nor the president is guaranteed the final word.
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The writer is a 2026 Legislative
Policy Fellow of the US Congress